15 INSTRUMENTS·12 ACTIONABLE·2 LONG·10 SHORT▸ TOP: SHORT SB MAR ’27 · GAP -59 · HIGH
2 long·10 short
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Regions colored by the trade they drive — green long, red short.LONGSHORTWATCH
method · GAP = WSS − MIS▾
AI does ETL, code computes. Data is web-fetched into versioned JSON with a source + date on every value; a deterministic engine runs on top — no model in the render path, UNKNOWN over fabrication.
WSS = weather stress per crop (anomalies vs stage ideal · critical-window weighting · ENSO tilt · unmodeled supply neutral). MIS = what the curve already prices (1M+3M trend + carry-adjusted term structure). GAP = WSS − MIS → LONG when weather runs ahead of the curve, SHORT when the curve over-prices it.
Starting values from documented ENSO/crop relationships and standard commodity heuristics — borrowed until backtested. Calibrate against your own history before sizing. Educational / research tool — not financial advice.